Foreign Investors on DeepSeek's Capital Market Impact

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The winds of technological change are sweeping through the global landscape, especially as we enter the new yearA significant stir has emanated from the AI sector, particularly from a company named DeepSeekEmerging from the shadows just before the Spring Festival, DeepSeek’s innovative technology has not just captured attention but also ignited discussions among major investment firms like BlackRock, Invesco, Schroders, and Morgan Asset ManagementTheir insights spotlight the potential industry upheaval driven by these advancements.

Several investment houses have shared their belief that DeepSeek's breakthroughs could herald significant fluctuations in the semiconductor industryHowever, they also agree that the demand for AI computing power remains on an upward trajectory in the long term, prompting further growth in the chip and hardware marketsThis optimism extends to potential investment flows rising in reaction to the anticipated ripple effects of AI growth across sectors such as renewable energy, consumer electronics, intelligent transportation, and healthcare.

This technical breakthrough has sent shockwaves through the capital markets, both domestically and internationallyDeepSeek boasts that its latest model was trained using merely around 2,000 NVIDIA H800 GPU chips, amounting to a total cost of approximately $5 millionIn stark contrast, the training expenses for OpenAI's model can soar up to $100 millionThis positions DeepSeek’s costs at an astonishing 5% of its competitor’s spending, with performance metrics reportedly on par with OpenAI's offeringsSuch figures inevitably lead to a reevaluation of the fundamental hardware demand propelling the AI revolution.

Invesco noted that this advancement has compelled investors to reassess the broader implications for the semiconductor industry, as some prominent semiconductor firms have witnessed abrupt declines in their stock valuesWhat sets DeepSeek apart, according to various analysts, is its unique model training approach

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Unlike conventional supervised learning methods, DeepSeek bypassed this phase and opted for reinforcement learning, enabling its R1 model to develop reasoning skills through iterative attempts and failuresThis radical departure from traditional methods not only reduces both the time and financial resources devoted to training but also enhances the model's adaptability, cutting down on potential biases that might arise from pre-labeled training data.

Furthermore, Morgan Asset Management highlighted DeepSeek's adoption of an open-source model, representing more than just technical sharing; it embodies a novel ecological concept fostering global developer participationThis strategy is accelerating technological iteration while broadening application scenarios, breathing new life into the AI ecosystemThis concept can be likened to the "Jevons Paradox" — technological progress can considerably reduce resource consumption costs, driving rapid demand growth.

Yang Jingyu, a senior fund manager at Morgan Asset Management, pointed out that DeepSeek’s breakthroughs aren’t spontaneous phenomena; they are the culmination of extensive exploration and innovationInitially, China’s AI sector drew impetus from visionary Chinese entrepreneurs in overseas tech giants and academic leaders in the diasporaThese pioneers stood at the forefront of the industry, continually absorbing and innovating upon cutting-edge technologies, alongside local commercial practices, resulting in globally recognized breakthroughs.

"This isn't a random event; it's a success story that aligns with the trajectory of industrial developments," Yang stated. "This achievement reinforces China’s stature as a vital hub for industrial innovation, making it likely that more innovations will emerge and continue to reshape the valuations of its tech enterprises.”

With DeepSeek’s impressive advancements, the semiconductor supply chain stands to gain considerably

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Invesco foresees immediate volatility within the semiconductor industry as markets grapple with the implications of this technological breakthrough on the broader AI ecosystemThere’s a shared sentiment that DeepSeek’s actions could amplify the uncertainty surrounding the demand for AI computing powers and that this anxiety will persistently ripple through the market.

BlackRock's fund manager Zou Jiangyu echoed the sentiment of rapid acceleration in the AI sector, particularly spurred on by Chinese advancements, suggesting a transformative wave sweeping across the global landscape of AI applicationsThe recent trends in the Chinese stock market further reinforce this notion, having demonstrated a notable recovery since the year began, with growth sectors exhibiting structural opportunities.

Moreover, Invesco emphasized that ongoing competition in AI hardware will continue to bolster robust demand for semiconductors, especially in the realm of specialized integrated circuit technologyThey anticipate that the U.S. will persist in restricting China's access to advanced AI chips and manufacturing tools, all while enhancing its own AI infrastructure, including initiatives such as the "Interstellar Gate Project."

The burgeoning environment of affordable and open-source models could redress the current landscape dominated by major tech firms in AI capital expendituresDespite the downturn among large technology equities, value stocks, alongside non-tech cyclical firms, are revealing encouraging trends, buoyed by rising government bonds thanks to productivity gains and a potential deflationary outlookInvesco believes that evolution towards lower computing costs and heightened efficiency may furnish the global economy with a more robust foundational framework, representing a positive signal for long-term investors.

As the symphony of AI development plays on, industry experts predict that the rapid evolution of artificial intelligence will spawn a plethora of investment opportunities across various sectors

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